Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 7.346403 8.469688 9.664782 11.026415 12.530184 14.135602 15.974471
2025-07-20 6.174925 7.793798 9.631617 11.853747 14.448389 17.362914 20.864168
2025-07-27 5.252285 7.205295 9.555931 12.548885 16.211273 20.499630 25.850193
2025-08-03 4.307009 6.416000 9.102359 12.692745 17.277918 22.848491 30.031298
2025-08-10 3.419699 5.541711 8.402428 12.410064 17.738688 24.436417 33.333167
2025-08-17 2.751871 4.844879 7.825151 12.188178 18.206580 26.004353 36.635649
2025-08-24 2.261059 4.314354 7.394247 12.090408 18.786980 27.699709 40.130120
2025-08-31 1.867219 3.860439 7.006126 11.991858 19.324311 29.325997 43.563460
2025-09-07 1.668152 3.690050 7.017998 12.459996 20.661659 32.065427 48.556843
2025-09-14 1.418623 3.384695 6.773768 12.504937 21.368430 33.940923 52.420490
2025-09-21 1.131463 2.951425 6.260494 12.071946 21.319761 34.725647 54.778101
2025-09-28 0.888503 2.550104 5.744601 11.575021 21.121086 35.258245 56.767329
2025-10-05 0.812440 2.491710 5.844945 12.123610 22.596657 38.321973 62.508950
2025-10-12 0.780528 2.527213 6.123121 12.993848 24.622516 42.270720 69.643644
2025-10-19 0.734466 2.520458 6.317770 13.727865 26.458901 45.992508 76.548879
2025-10-26 0.635213 2.360290 6.190407 13.875302 27.339039 48.290644 81.425312
2025-11-02 0.512192 2.104197 5.832707 13.568848 27.440533 49.387913 84.542050
2025-11-09 0.415061 1.888893 5.528388 13.329084 27.629127 50.610308 87.860474
2025-11-16 0.342790 1.723191 5.307180 13.223136 28.029544 52.161648 91.695276
2025-11-23 0.282036 1.572404 5.097021 13.116874 28.415232 53.690411 95.520965
2025-11-30 0.259628 1.548753 5.185916 13.617676 29.898819 57.023499 102.195701
2025-12-07 0.219516 1.444006 5.060744 13.665530 30.561509 59.033811 106.853748
2025-12-14 0.166681 1.261605 4.708101 13.201847 30.257938 59.438327 108.997149